Beneficial Electrification and Grid Opportunities

A Digital Report of the Active Efficiency Collaborative.

Beneficial electrification – transitioning end-uses powered by fossil fuels to electricity in circumstances where certain benefits are achieved – is a major trend that is accelerating in energy markets across the world. 

Regional Insights

Beneficial electrification requires consideration of local context, including the local climate, the ease of electrifying certain end-uses, the electricity market structure and state-specific regulations, the conventional fuels in use, and state and local policies regarding decarbonization and fuel-switching.

Browse a few different geographical views of beneficial electrification at the state level, including:

  • Figure 1: Heating fuels in the United States
  • Figure 2: Electricity consumption and carbon consumption across the U.S. power system; and
  • A dynamic map, which allows comparisons of other datasets, including heating/cooling days, average electricity retail pricing, EV deployments, and policies related to GHG emissions reductions and electrification.

Figure 1: Fraction of housing units using a given fuel for primary space heating

Different regions of the United States rely on different heating fuels. Electricity is most common in the Southeast and Northwest; fuel oil is most common in the Northeast; natural gas is most common in cities, whereas propane and electricity (and fuel oil in the Northeast) are most common in rural areas where gas distribution is less common. This distribution suggests greater opportunities for beneficial electrification of heating functions in the Northeast, and potentially Midwest regions. Maps created by NREL using data from 5-yr 2017 Public Use Microdata Samples (PUMS). IPUMS USA, University of Minnesota, www.ipums.org.

Electricity

Map of the US showing the saturation of Electricity as a heating fuel

Natural Gas

Map of the US showing the saturation of Natural Gas as a heating fuel

Propane

Map of the US showing the saturation of Propane as a heating fuel

Fuel Oil

Map of the US showing the saturation of Fuel Oil as a heating fuel

Other Fuel

Map of the US showing the saturation of Other as a heating fuel 

Figure 2: Electricity consumption and carbon consumption across the U.S. power system, 2016.

This map shows two views of the carbon footprint of the U.S. electricity system in 2016: electricity consumption (upper) and carbon consumption (lower), including the exchanges between balancing authorities. In general, the carbon intensity of electricity is the lowest in the Pacific Northwest, the Northeast, and California; it is the highest in the Rocky Mountains.  (National Academy of Sciences, 2019)

Electricity Consumption and Carbon Consumption across the U.S. power system, 2016. NAS.

Dynamic Regional Insights Map

Average Price of Electricity to Ultimate Customers for All Sectors (cents/kWh)
These values provide a general sense of relative electricity prices. However, real-time prices fluctuate widely both geographically and over time due to many variables that can impact ultimate costs for consumers. Source: EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A, Sept. 2020, July 2020 values.
Light-Duty Electric Vehicle Registrations by State, 2018
Electrification of vehicles is projected to be the greatest source of new electric load in the coming decades and a key enabler of demand flexibility. While markets for EVs are still in the early stages, these vehicles are becoming more prevalent. Source: NREL
Population-Weighted Heating Degree Days
The population-weighted heating degree days (2019) is a measure of a location’s exposure to cold weather. Higher numbers imply higher levels of energy required for space heating, a function that may be under consideration for beneficial electrification. Source: EIA, MER Table 1.9, July 2020.
Population-Weighted Cooling Degree Days
The population-weighted cooling degree days (2019) is a measure of a location’s exposure to hot weather. Higher numbers imply higher requirements for air conditioning, typically an electrified end-use. Source: EIA, MER Table 1.10, July 2020.

Executive Target

Statutory Target

No target

Both Targets

State Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets
States that have passed economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets through statutory action or a legally-binding executive action. Such targets tend to correlate with greater interest in beneficial electrification as a tool for decarbonization. Source: C2ES

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

No policy but utilities or program administrators have received approval for fuel switching or substitution programs in certain cases

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

State Policies and Rules Regarding Beneficial Electrification
A summary of state policies that relate to beneficial electrification, including provisions that either support or prohibit fuel switching or substitutions in existing policies or programs. Source: ACEEE, “State Policies and Rules to Enable Beneficial Electrification”
Percent of residential end-use energy from electricity, excluding losses
A measure of the residential sector’s current reliance on electricity. Values are calculated as the percent of electrified end-uses (retail electricity sales and on-site solar and geothermal power) in net energy (excluding losses) in 2018. Source: EIA, SEDS Table C5, June 2020.
Percent of commercial end-use energy from electricity, excluding losses
A measure of the commercial sector’s current reliance on electricity. Values are calculated as the percent of electrified end-uses (retail electricity sales and on-site solar and geothermal power) in net energy (excluding losses) in 2018. Source: EIA, SEDS Table C6, June 2020.
Regional Data
Choose a variable to filter map with
Average Price of Electricity to Ultimate Customers for All Sectors (Cents/kWh)
Light Duty Electric Vehicle Registrations, 2018
Population-Weighted Heating Degree Days
Population-Weighted Cooling Degree Days
State Greenhouse Gas Emissions Targets

Executive Target

Statutory Target

No target

Both Targets

State Policies and Rules Regarding Beneficial Electrification

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

No policy but utilities or program administrators have received approval for fuel switching or substitution programs in certain cases

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

Percent of End-Use Energy From Electricity, Excluding Losses (%)
Residential

Retail Electricity, Geotherm, and solar, divided by total energy use.

Commercial

Retail Electricity, Geotherm, and solar, divided by total energy use.

Natural Gas

Retail Electricity

Petroleum

Other

Bar numerical values: 2018 energy consumption by fuel in Trillion BTU. Other category includes all other resources including coal, solar, biomass, and geothermal.

Click on a state for a summary of all the variables at a glance
Click on a variables to see how all states are doing

Regional Data Table

Explore the data that was used in the map above in a filterable table format for quick comparisons
State Cost of Electricity
(Cents/kWh)
Electric Vehicles
2018
Degree Days
Heating
Degree Days
Cooling
Emissions Targets Beneficial Electrification
Policies
Natural Gas Petroleum Electricity Other Natural Gas Petroleum Electricity Other

Alabama

10.48

1450

3180

1879

No target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

27.4

12.8

80.1

0.4

35.7

5.8

112.9

2.2

Alaska

20.82

530

3534

846

No target

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

14.1

8.7

9

1.4

18.1

6.9

6.7

6

Arizona

11.51

15000

5308

1397

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

33.1

16.2

101.3

7.5

36.5

5

118.3

21.5

Arkansas

8.88

520

2152

2750

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

56.2

7.3

41.9

1.2

35.5

4

65.7

7.8

California

19.26

256800

3534

846

Both

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

256.3

85.8

395.1

44.1

438.2

24.8

304

112.1

Colorado

10.82

11700

5308

1397

Statutory Target

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

59.9

14.2

71.7

4

137.6

11.8

65.8

15.1

Connecticut

19.32

4450

6531

536

Statutory Target

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

59.9

16.3

42.2

2.7

54.7

63.6

44.6

9.7

Delaware

9.96

720

2383

2516

Executive Target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

16.3

3.5

14.8

0.4

12.6

5.4

17.3

1.7

Florida

10.53

25200

2383

2516

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

65.6

51.2

328.5

3.7

17.6

6.8

428.3

38.8

Georgia

10.53

15300

2383

2516

No target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

58.1

24.7

161.4

0.8

136.7

8.9

203.7

4.1

Hawaii

26.09

6590

3534

846

Executive Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

2.5

5.8

10.3

7.5

0.6

0.5

9.2

7.7

Idaho

8.53

1080

5308

1397

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

19.9

5.5

22

2.8

28.6

4.4

28.8

14.4

Illinois

9.46

12400

6428

832

No target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

249.1

22.5

173.2

1.5

451

22.8

161.1

9.4

Indiana

9.92

3030

6428

832

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

90.1

15.1

82.9

7

150.8

14.8

118

17.2

Iowa

11.3

1090

7073

954

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

60.2

12.7

42.4

3.5

75.1

23.6

50.6

6

Kansas

10.74

1610

7073

954

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

41.8

6

55.2

1.4

69.7

8.4

48.4

4.6

Kentucky

8.65

1240

3180

1879

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

40.4

10.2

68.2

2.5

54.1

6.4

94.6

11.3

Louisiana

7.63

1110

2152

2750

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

35.6

8.6

84.2

1.1

38.6

1.8

109.4

3.5

Maine

13.53

750

6531

536

Both

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

9.9

17.7

15.2

4.8

3.2

41

16.6

20.9

Maryland

10.72

8080

2383

2516

Statutory Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

80.7

19

100.8

4.2

90.2

21.8

96

11.8

Massachusetts

18.33

9760

6531

536

Both

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

122.4

19.9

88.5

14.8

134.3

85.5

69.2

15.2

Michigan

12.84

4210

6428

832

Executive Target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

188.9

21.2

132.8

11.8

342.5

45.5

119.9

40.9

Minnesota

11.59

4740

7073

954

Statutory Target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

116.9

16.3

79.8

7.1

147.9

32.1

77.9

20.3

Mississippi

9.18

390

3180

1879

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

21.6

7.7

49.6

1

25.1

5.5

65.9

1.7

Missouri

11

3450

7073

954

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

70.7

16.5

106.4

5.3

116.2

16.7

127.8

21

Montana

9.33

500

5308

1397

Executive Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

27.4

3.6

16.8

2.4

23.6

7.2

17.7

14.4

Nebraska

9.88

850

7073

954

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

37.5

5

32.6

1.3

44.9

6.6

35.5

3.4

Nevada

8.88

4810

5308

1397

Statutory Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

34

8.6

41.4

3.1

43.4

2.1

45.9

7.3

New Hampshire

16.01

1120

6531

536

Executive Target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

10.4

13.3

15.2

2.8

8.4

36.7

15.8

13.2

New Jersey

14.73

12100

5754

784

Executive Target

Supportive policies in place, with additional specific guidance/rules pending

174.1

20.7

132.4

13.1

257.5

29.7

100.8

12.7

New Mexico

10.53

1260

5308

1397

Executive Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

26.9

4.3

30.8

2.5

35.6

4.4

23.3

12.7

New York

16.03

16600

5754

784

Statutory Target

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

341

71.6

261.9

16.6

501.6

137.1

177.9

44

North Carolina

9.66

7320

2383

2516

Executive Target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

59.7

27.3

168.2

4.2

75.4

23.8

210.3

12.1

North Dakota

9.33

170

7073

954

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

15.6

3.7

23.3

0.5

13.7

7.1

17.5

1.1

Ohio

9.51

6510

6428

832

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

190.8

32.5

161

5.3

321.3

27.8

185.8

24.5

Oklahoma

8.04

3290

2152

2750

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

48.5

9.9

72.4

0.6

69.5

7.9

82.3

4.2

Oregon

9.2

12400

3534

846

Both

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

31

11.3

56.2

5.5

45.5

4.5

64.6

26.5

Pennsylvania

9.79

7990

5754

784

Executive Target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

171.6

43.5

147.5

9.7

262.7

107.8

190.7

38.7

Rhode Island

17.45

600

6531

536

Statutory Target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

13.1

4

12.6

0.7

21.1

16.3

10.7

1.7

South Carolina

10.1

1950

2383

2516

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

26

12.8

75.9

0.9

31.5

5.1

108.7

3.8

South Dakota

10.43

260

7073

954

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

13.4

2.3

16.7

1.4

15.2

5.4

17.1

3.1

Tennessee

9.81

3980

3180

1879

No target

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

61

14.8

126

1.7

77.6

7

151.4

7.6

Texas

8.82

22600

2152

2750

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

220.2

46.7

489.7

3.4

233.4

16.7

536.6

9.6

Utah

9.01

5220

5308

1397

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

44.2

6.2

41.2

1.9

70.3

2.7

33.1

7.1

Vermont

16.2

1060

6531

536

Statutory Target

Fuel switching or substitution encouraged through guidelines or fuel-neutral goals

7.6

7.4

6.8

2.9

4.2

18

7.2

16.1

Virginia

9.53

8370

2383

2516

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

78.6

29.7

178.3

7.9

94.2

23.8

163.6

15.5

Washington

8.32

28400

3534

846

Statutory Target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

62

21

100.3

5.3

90.8

12.2

120.6

29.2

West Virginia

8.8

230

2383

2516

No target

Fuel switching or substitution prohibited or discouraged

27.4

5.2

26.5

1.5

28.7

4

39.9

9.7

Wisconsin

11.72

3680

6428

832

No target

No policy but utilities/program administrators have received approval in certain cases

104.8

15.2

82.2

5.3

151.5

29.5

76.6

30.4

Wyoming

8.51

170

5308

1397

No target

No fuel-switching or substitution policy or programs

14.7

2.4

12.8

1.1

14

3.4

9.4

4.3